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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Bologna logo

Torino
1 - 0
Bologna

Karamoh (22')
Buongiorno (64'), Vojvoda (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barrow (70'), Schouten (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Torino and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 4-2 Torino
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Inter Milan
Sunday, February 26 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Torino 2-2 Bologna

Torino are unbeaten in their last seven Serie A matches played on a Monday - the most recent six coming under current coach Ivan Juric - and that streak should be extended against Bologna. Both clubs have developed more of a goal threat of late, so an entertaining draw could be on the cards when Juric locks horns with former Genoa teammate Thiago Motta on the touchline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawBologna
55.74% (-0.256 -0.26) 24.56% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 19.7% (0.212 0.21)
Both teams to score 46.63% (0.182 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.73% (0.071999999999996 0.07)54.27% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.33% (0.059000000000001 0.06)75.67% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.61% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)19.39% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.8% (-0.121 -0.12)51.2% (0.126 0.13)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.84% (0.281 0.28)42.16% (-0.275 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.43% (0.241 0.24)78.57% (-0.235 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Torino 55.72%
    Bologna 19.7%
    Draw 24.56%
TorinoDrawBologna
1-0 @ 13.4% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 10.99% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.02% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.47% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 55.72%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 7.06% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 5% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.05% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 19.7%

How you voted: Torino vs Bologna

Torino
40.5%
Draw
32.2%
Bologna
27.3%
121
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 11.30am
Bologna
2-1
Torino
Orsolini (64'), Posch (73')
Lucumi (24')
Lukic (26' pen.)
Mar 6, 2022 2pm
Bologna
0-0
Torino

Schouten (26'), Theate (63'), Medel (70')

Pobega (34'), Ricci (68'), Rodriguez (78')
Dec 12, 2021 11.30am
Torino
2-1
Bologna
Sanabria (24'), Soumaoro (69' og.)
Sanabria (56'), Milinkovic-Savic (78')
Orsolini (79' pen.)
Theate (27'), Soumaoro (68'), Soriano (72'), De Silvestri (82')
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
Bologna
1-1
Torino
Barrow (25')
Baldursson (28'), Poli (51'), M'baye (53'), Larangeira (81')
Mandragora (58')
Nkoulou (18'), Rincon (45+2')
Dec 20, 2020 11.30am
Torino
1-1
Bologna
Verdi (69')
Lyanco (32')
Soriano (78')
Dominguez (26'), Svanberg (52'), Tomiyasu (68')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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