Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Salernitana |
40.02% ( -0.34) | 28.99% ( 0.34) | 30.99% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 44.21% ( -0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.69% ( -1.14) | 62.3% ( 1.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.04% ( -0.84) | 81.96% ( 0.84) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.55% ( -0.76) | 30.45% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.34% ( -0.92) | 66.65% ( 0.92) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.56% ( -0.61) | 36.43% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.78% ( -0.63) | 73.22% ( 0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 13.19% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 7.84% 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.37% Total : 40.02% | 1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 4% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.97% | 0-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.9% Total : 30.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |