Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 46.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Monza |
26.51% ( -0.06) | 26.57% ( 0.01) | 46.92% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 48.5% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.3% ( -0.08) | 55.7% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.15% ( -0.07) | 76.84% ( 0.06) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.59% ( -0.09) | 36.4% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.81% ( -0.09) | 73.19% ( 0.09) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.27% ( -0.02) | 23.73% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.13% ( -0.02) | 57.86% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 26.51% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 46.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |