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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
Fiorentina logo

Sassuolo
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Pinamonti (9')
Henrique (34'), Pinamonti (52'), Berardi (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Martinez (35'), Ikone (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Sassuolo
Wednesday, January 3 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Torino
Friday, December 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Sassuolo 1-2 Fiorentina

The distraction of a midweek Coppa Italia defeat will have done struggling Sassuolo no favours ahead of a tough test against in-form Fiorentina. As the Viola have had more than a week to prepare for their first fixture of 2024, expect them to edge out a home side that simply cannot stop conceding goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
SassuoloDrawFiorentina
27.61% (0.131 0.13) 25.08% (0.02 0.02) 47.31% (-0.152 -0.15)
Both teams to score 53.85% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.87% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)49.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)71.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (0.101 0.1)32.01% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52% (0.114 0.11)68.47% (-0.114 -0.11)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)20.79% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54% (-0.106 -0.11)53.45% (0.106 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 27.61%
    Fiorentina 47.31%
    Draw 25.07%
SassuoloDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.78% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.32% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 27.61%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 10.45% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.21% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.3% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.69% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 47.31%

How you voted: Sassuolo vs Fiorentina

Sassuolo
9.2%
Draw
12.6%
Fiorentina
78.2%
87
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 38
Sassuolo
1-3
Fiorentina
Berardi (71' pen.)
Berardi (32'), Ruan (55'), Marchizza (90+2')
Ruan (81'), Rogerio (87')
Cabral (46'), Saponara (79'), Gonzalez (83')
Terzic (7'), Ranieri (32'), Kouame (45'), Cabral (70')
Jan 7, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Fiorentina
2-1
Sassuolo
Saponara (48'), Gonzalez (90+1' pen.)
Berardi (57' pen.)
Feb 26, 2022 7.50pm
Gameweek 27
Sassuolo
2-1
Fiorentina
Traore (19'), Defrel (90+4')
Lopez (70')
Cabral (88')
Italiano (68'), Bonaventura (79')
Bonaventura (79')
Dec 19, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 18
Fiorentina
2-2
Sassuolo
Vlahovic (51'), Torreira (61')
Biraghi (44'), Martinez (58'), Italiano (58')
Biraghi (68')
Scamacca (32'), Frattesi (37')
Toljan (27'), Chiriches (54'), Traore (56'), Scamacca (59'), Frattesi (71')
Apr 17, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 31
Sassuolo
3-1
Fiorentina
Berardi (59' pen., 62' pen.), Lopez (75')
Traore (13'), Lopez (45+1'), Muldur (70')
Bonaventura (31')
Castrovilli (15'), Milenkovic (28'), Biraghi (68'), Eysseric (81'), Pulgar (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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