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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 30, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Sassuolo logo

AC Milan
1 - 0
Sassuolo

Pulisic (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Castillejo (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 AC Milan
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Sassuolo

All competitions
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Genoa
Friday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 3-2 Sassuolo

 Neither side can be relied upon to keep the other at bay for 90 minutes, and with a number of men missing from both squads it could be an open and unpredictable encounter. Ultimately, Sassuolo's frailties are just as much psychological as defensive, so Milan can edge to victory and keep Pioli in-post for now. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.67%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.38%) and 1-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawSassuolo
56.67% (-0.178 -0.18) 20.63% (-0.2 -0.2) 22.69% (0.374 0.37)
Both teams to score 64.06% (1.298 1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.66% (1.46 1.46)33.34% (-1.464 -1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.89% (1.652 1.65)55.11% (-1.655 -1.66)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.2% (0.417 0.42)11.79% (-0.42 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.99% (0.891 0.89)37% (-0.89400000000001 -0.89)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (1.132 1.13)27.37% (-1.135 -1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.16% (1.447 1.45)62.83% (-1.449 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 56.67%
    Sassuolo 22.69%
    Draw 20.63%
AC MilanDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.321 -0.32)
1-0 @ 6.9% (-0.421 -0.42)
3-1 @ 6.81% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-2 @ 4.41% (0.163 0.16)
4-1 @ 3.64% (0.08 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.81% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.36% (0.124 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.06 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.02% (0.084 0.08)
5-2 @ 1.01% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 56.67%
1-1 @ 8.94% (-0.248 -0.25)
2-2 @ 6.19% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 3.23% (-0.254 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.91% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 20.63%
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.027 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.18% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-2 @ 2.71% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.138 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 22.69%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Sassuolo

AC Milan
78.9%
Draw
11.1%
Sassuolo
10.0%
90
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 20
AC Milan
2-5
Sassuolo
Giroud (24'), Origi (81')
Defrel (19'), Frattesi (21'), Berardi (30'), Lauriente (47' pen.), Henrique (79')
> Preview
Aug 30, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Sassuolo
0-0
AC Milan
> Preview
May 22, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 38
Sassuolo
0-3
AC Milan

Lopez (37'), Kiriakopoulos (53')
Giroud (17', 32'), Kessie (36')
Tonali (34')
> Preview
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 14
AC Milan
1-3
Sassuolo
Romagnoli (21')
Bennacer (53'), Hernandez (54'), Tonali (71'), Kjaer (73')
Romagnoli (77')
Scamacca (24'), Kjaer (33' og.), Berardi (66')
Lopez (27'), Raspadori (38')
> Preview
Apr 21, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
AC Milan
1-2
Sassuolo
Calhanoglu (30')
Raspadori (76', 83')
Duricic (60')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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