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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Salernitana

Fiorentina
3 - 0
Salernitana

Beltran (6' pen.), Sottil (17'), Bonaventura (56')
Ranieri (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Genk
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Salernitana

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 2-1 Lazio
Saturday, November 25 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-0 Salernitana

 As Salernitana have picked up just two points on their travels so far, surely inconsistent Fiorentina can capitalise on home advantage to secure a much-needed Serie A success. While the hosts may lack a consistent goalscorer, their visitors are far from reliable in defence and can be caught out at least once at Stadio Franchi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 73.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSalernitana
73.49% (0.45099999999999 0.45) 16.39% (-0.064 -0.06) 10.11% (-0.385 -0.39)
Both teams to score 48.77% (-1.282 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.31% (-0.892 -0.89)38.69% (0.894 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39% (-0.947 -0.95)61% (0.95 0.95)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.9% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)9.09% (0.1191 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.1% (-0.286 -0.29)30.9% (0.289 0.29)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.65% (-1.339 -1.34)46.35% (1.342 1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.01% (-1.049 -1.05)81.99% (1.051 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 73.48%
    Salernitana 10.11%
    Draw 16.39%
FiorentinaDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 12.11% (0.38 0.38)
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.363 0.36)
3-0 @ 9.68% (0.249 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.45% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-0 @ 5.8% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 4.46% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.143 -0.14)
5-0 @ 2.78% (0.041 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.14% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.096 -0.1)
6-0 @ 1.11% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 73.48%
1-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.176 0.18)
2-2 @ 3.58% (-0.159 -0.16)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 16.39%
0-1 @ 3.24% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.99% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-2 @ 1.25% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 0.92% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 10.11%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Salernitana

Fiorentina
84.6%
Draw
12.8%
Salernitana
2.6%
39
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 5pm
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Salernitana
3-3
Fiorentina
Dia (10', 59', 81' pen.)
Gonzalez (36'), Ikone (71'), Biraghi (84')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Fiorentina
2-1
Salernitana
Bonaventura (15'), Jovic (81')
Dia (55')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 34
Salernitana
2-1
Fiorentina
Djuric (9'), Bonazzoli (79')
Gyomber (22')
Saponara (64')
Milenkovic (82')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 17
Fiorentina
4-0
Salernitana
Bonaventura (31'), Vlahovic (51', 84'), Maleh (90')
Milenkovic (11')

Kastanos (20')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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