Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 73.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Salernitana |
73.49% ( 0.45) | 16.39% ( -0.06) | 10.11% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 48.77% ( -1.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.31% ( -0.89) | 38.69% ( 0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39% ( -0.95) | 61% ( 0.95) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.9% ( -0.12) | 9.09% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.1% ( -0.29) | 30.9% ( 0.29) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.65% ( -1.34) | 46.35% ( 1.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.01% ( -1.05) | 81.99% ( 1.05) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Salernitana |
2-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.38) 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.95% Total : 73.48% | 1-1 @ 7.77% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.83% Total : 16.39% | 0-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.72% Total : 10.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |