Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio2 - 2Empoli
We said: Lazio 2-0 Empoli
One win and six goals from eight road trips this term means that Empoli offer a prime opportunity for Lazio to halt their losing streak, as they finally return to Rome. Due to some fans' racist abuse of Lecce players on Wednesday, the notorious Curva Nord will be closed at Stadio Olimpico, but the home side should still prevail. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 63.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Empoli |
63.37% ( 0.08) | 21.2% ( 0.03) | 15.43% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.57% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
