Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Torino had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Torino |
37.75% ( 0.13) | 27.69% ( 0.05) | 34.56% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 48.67% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.87% ( -0.19) | 57.13% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22% ( -0.16) | 78% ( 0.15) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.76% ( -0.02) | 29.24% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.81% ( -0.02) | 65.19% ( 0.02) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.78% ( -0.22) | 31.22% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.44% ( -0.25) | 67.56% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.74% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 31 | 44 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 30 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |