Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Torino had a probability of 19.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Torino |
56.36% ( 0.23) | 24.48% ( -0.06) | 19.16% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 46.03% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.38% ( -0) | 54.62% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.04% ( -0) | 75.96% ( 0) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.72% ( 0.09) | 19.28% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.98% ( 0.15) | 51.02% ( -0.15) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.03% ( -0.2) | 42.97% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.74% ( -0.17) | 79.26% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 13.63% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.88% Total : 56.35% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 19.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |