Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 13, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
We said: Torino 1-1 Juventus
Recent history weighs against them, but Torino are made of sterner stuff under Ivan Juric - most notably on home turf.
As Juventus are still searching for rhythm after their form collapsed in February, they may have to settle for a single point from the latest Derby della Mole.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 40.47% . A win for Juventus had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.6% .
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.87%) . The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (10.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result Torino Draw Juventus 40.47% ( 0.04) 28.63% ( -0.01) 30.9% ( -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.14% ( 0.03)
38.86% ( 0.04) 61.13% ( -0.04)
18.9% ( 0.03) 81.09% ( -0.03)
70.39% ( 0.04) 29.6% ( -0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.36% ( 0.05) 65.64% ( -0.05)
64.13% ( 0) 35.86% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 27.35% ( 0) 72.64% ( -0)
Torino 40.46%
Juventus 30.89%
Draw 28.62%
Torino Draw Juventus 1-0 @ 12.92% 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.5% Total : 40.46% 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.62% 0-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 2% Total : 30.89%
How you voted: Torino vs Juventus
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rhs 2.0
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