Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Mar 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
1 - 1
Torino

Kvaratskhelia (61')
Osimhen (36'), Jesus (39')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sanabria (64')
Zapata (31'), Buongiorno (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Juventus
Sunday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Torino

All competitions

Last Game: Torino 0-0 Fiorentina
Saturday, March 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

While there is no doubt Napoli have ridden their luck at times since Calzona took charge, the new boss is picking up results, and they should go into that clash in Barcelona full of confidence with a third straight victory here. Torino's feeble attack suggests they may struggle to threaten this Napoli side much, as their season is faltering just as their supporters were starting to get excited about a potential European push. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Torino had a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Torino
49.54% ( 0.01)	25.74%	24.72% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.35% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.17% (

-0.01)

53.83% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.71% (

-0.01)

75.29% (

0.01)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.24% (

-0)

21.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.06%

54.94% (

-0)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.07% (

-0.02)

36.92% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.29% (

-0.01)

73.71% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Napoli 49.54%

Torino 24.72%

Draw 25.73%

Napoli	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.31% 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.17% Total : 49.54%	1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.73%	0-1 @ 8% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 24.72%