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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Mar 30, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Monza

Torino
1 - 0
Monza

Sanabria (69' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pessina (67'), Caldirola (76')
Pessina (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Torino and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 0-2 Torino
Saturday, March 16 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-0 Cagliari
Saturday, March 16 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-1 Monza

Torino will hope to avoid conceding first against a Monza side that have secured 11 wins from 12 (one draw) after scoring the game's opening goal this term. Despite the Bull's propensity for clean sheets, matches between the clubs in Serie A have witnessed both sides scoring, and Saturday's game should follow the same pattern in a third consecutive 1-1 draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Monza had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawMonza
45.72% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05) 26.98% (-0.135 -0.13) 27.3% (0.182 0.18)
Both teams to score 47.9% (0.503 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.24% (0.58000000000001 0.58)56.76% (-0.58300000000001 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.3% (0.464 0.46)77.7% (-0.465 -0.47)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (0.23399999999999 0.23)24.77% (-0.237 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.66% (0.328 0.33)59.34% (-0.331 -0.33)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.68% (0.469 0.47)36.32% (-0.47 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.89% (0.469 0.47)73.11% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Torino 45.71%
    Monza 27.3%
    Draw 26.97%
TorinoDrawMonza
1-0 @ 12.55% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.76% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 45.71%
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 9.11% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 27.3%

How you voted: Torino vs Monza

Torino
42.9%
Draw
35.7%
Monza
21.4%
28
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Monza
1-1
Torino
Colpani (65')
Kiriakopoulos (68'), Carboni (89')
Ilic (55')
Gineitis (67'), Radonjic (90+4'), Juric (90+4')
May 7, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 34
Torino
1-1
Monza
Sanabria (46')
Caprari (86')
Aug 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Monza
1-2
Torino
Mota (90+4')
Mari (61')
Miranchuk (43'), Sanabria (66')
Singo (19'), Adopo (36')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza161781421-710


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