Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 2, 2024 at 8pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
2 - 0
Lazio

(Juventus win 3-2 on aggregate)

Chiesa (50'), Vlahovic (64')
Gatti (37'), Weah (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Juventus and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Juventus
Saturday, March 30 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Juventus
Saturday, March 30 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nothing is expected to be decided on Tuesday, with neither Allegri nor Tudor going all out to win the first leg in Turin. This could see both sides play out a cagey stalemate, leaving all to play for on April 23. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 17.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Lazio
58.98% ( -0.05)	23.1% ( 0.03)	17.91% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 47.89% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.98% (

-0.06)

51.01% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.12% (

-0.05)

72.88% (

0.05)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.02% (

-0.04)

16.98% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.91% (

-0.07)

47.09% (

0.07)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.69% (

42.31% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.3% (

78.7% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Juventus 58.97%

Lazio 17.91%

Draw 23.09%

Juventus	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 58.97%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.09%	0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.81% Total : 17.91%