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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Fiorentina logo

Juventus
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Gatti (21')
Cambiaso (69'), Yildiz (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Beltran (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Lazio
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta
Wednesday, April 3 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Juventus 1-0 Fiorentina

Both teams are desperate to stop the rot in Serie A, so a gritty contest is set to take place in Turin. As Juventus boast the better attacking options - mostly former Fiorentina players - they can snatch all three points with a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
JuventusDrawFiorentina
42.24% (-0.34200000000001 -0.34) 27.32% (0.109 0.11) 30.44% (0.236 0.24)
Both teams to score 48.64% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.35% (-0.322 -0.32)56.65% (0.323 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (-0.259 -0.26)77.62% (0.26000000000001 0.26)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51% (-0.327 -0.33)26.49% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32% (-0.438 -0.44)61.68% (0.44 0.44)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)33.83% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.51% (0.004999999999999 0)70.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 42.24%
    Fiorentina 30.44%
    Draw 27.32%
JuventusDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 11.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 42.24%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.111 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 9.71% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.26% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 30.44%

How you voted: Juventus vs Fiorentina

Juventus
68.5%
Draw
22.8%
Fiorentina
8.7%
92
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Fiorentina
0-1
Juventus

Ranieri (83')
Miretti (10')
Rabiot (43'), Kean (48'), Gatti (58')
Feb 12, 2023 5pm
Sep 3, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 5
Fiorentina
1-1
Juventus
Kouame (29')
Amrabat (15')
Milik (9')
Sandro (33'), Locatelli (52'), Danilo (53')
May 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Fiorentina
2-0
Juventus
Duncan (45+1'), Gonzalez (90+2' pen.)
Julio (44'), Venuti (56'), Amrabat (70')

Kean (44'), Rabiot (56'), de Ligt (84')
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Juventus
2-0
Fiorentina
Bernardeschi (32'), Danilo (90+4')
De Sciglio (45+2')

Martinez (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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