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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Fiorentina logo

Juventus
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Gatti (21')
Cambiaso (69'), Yildiz (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Beltran (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Lazio
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta
Wednesday, April 3 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Juventus 1-0 Fiorentina

Both teams are desperate to stop the rot in Serie A, so a gritty contest is set to take place in Turin. As Juventus boast the better attacking options - mostly former Fiorentina players - they can snatch all three points with a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
JuventusDrawFiorentina
42.24% (-0.34200000000001 -0.34) 27.32% (0.109 0.11) 30.44% (0.236 0.24)
Both teams to score 48.64% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.35% (-0.322 -0.32)56.65% (0.323 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (-0.259 -0.26)77.62% (0.26000000000001 0.26)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51% (-0.327 -0.33)26.49% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32% (-0.438 -0.44)61.68% (0.44 0.44)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)33.83% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.51% (0.004999999999999 0)70.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 42.24%
    Fiorentina 30.44%
    Draw 27.32%
JuventusDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 11.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 42.24%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.111 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 9.71% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.26% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 30.44%

How you voted: Juventus vs Fiorentina

Juventus
68.5%
Draw
22.8%
Fiorentina
8.7%
92
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Fiorentina
0-1
Juventus

Ranieri (83')
Miretti (10')
Rabiot (43'), Kean (48'), Gatti (58')
Feb 12, 2023 5pm
Sep 3, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 5
Fiorentina
1-1
Juventus
Kouame (29')
Amrabat (15')
Milik (9')
Sandro (33'), Locatelli (52'), Danilo (53')
May 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Fiorentina
2-0
Juventus
Duncan (45+1'), Gonzalez (90+2' pen.)
Julio (44'), Venuti (56'), Amrabat (70')

Kean (44'), Rabiot (56'), de Ligt (84')
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Juventus
2-0
Fiorentina
Bernardeschi (32'), Danilo (90+4')
De Sciglio (45+2')

Martinez (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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