Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 14, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
We said: Hellas Verona 1-1 Torino
Verona's resurgence should have them as slight favourites given they have much more to play for, but they have not kept back-to-back clean sheets in Serie A since April 2014 and remain susceptible at the back.
Eight of the last 11 meetings between the sides have ended in a draw, with four of the last six ending 1-1, and history could well repeat itself here.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 47.8% . A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 25.41% .
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.34%) and 1-2 (8.99%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%) , while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (8.81%) . The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Torino in this match.
Result Hellas Verona Draw Torino 25.41% ( 0.36) 26.79% ( 0.07) 47.8% ( -0.43)
Both teams to score 47% ( 0.12)
42.8% ( -0.01) 57.2% ( 0.01)
21.94% ( -0.01) 78.06% ( 0)
61.82% ( 0.31) 38.18% ( -0.32)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 25.06% ( 0.3) 74.94% ( -0.3)
76.03% ( -0.2) 23.97% ( 0.2)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.79% ( -0.29) 58.21% ( 0.29)
Hellas Verona 25.41%
Torino 47.8%
Draw 26.78%
Hellas Verona Draw Torino 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.6% Total : 25.41% 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.78% 0-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 47.8%
How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Torino
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