Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 35.64%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.4%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (12.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match.
Result | ||
Torino | Draw | Roma |
35.22% ( -0.23) | 29.14% ( 0.06) | 35.64% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 44.48% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.7% ( -0.19) | 62.29% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.05% ( -0.14) | 81.95% ( 0.14) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.56% ( -0.25) | 33.44% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.93% ( -0.28) | 70.07% ( 0.28) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.84% ( 0.01) | 33.16% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.23% ( 0.01) | 69.77% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Torino | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 12.14% 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.21% | 1-1 @ 13.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.13% | 0-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |