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Serie A | Gameweek 34
May 7, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Monza

Torino
1 - 1
Monza

Sanabria (46')
Karamoh (88'), Ricci (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Caprari (86')
Augusto (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sampdoria 0-2 Torino
Wednesday, May 3 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Roma
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-1 Monza

As Monza score regularly - regardless of whether they are home or away - Torino will struggle to keep them at bay for 90 minutes. By contrast, the Granata are often too reliant on Antonio Sanabria to bail them out and can be frustrated in the final third, so a draw may be the best they can hope for on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Monza had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
TorinoDrawMonza
41.66% (-0.285 -0.29) 27.54% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 30.8% (0.258 0.26)
Both teams to score 48.17% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.67% (-0.012 -0.01)57.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)78.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.88% (-0.161 -0.16)27.11% (0.157 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.5% (-0.208 -0.21)62.5% (0.205 0.2)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (0.18199999999999 0.18)33.92% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41% (0.197 0.2)70.59% (-0.2 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Torino 41.66%
    Monza 30.8%
    Draw 27.53%
TorinoDrawMonza
1-0 @ 12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.83% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.66%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.53%
0-1 @ 9.94% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.02% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.38% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 30.8%

How you voted: Torino vs Monza

Torino
38.3%
Draw
27.7%
Monza
34.0%
47
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 1
Monza
1-2
Torino
Mota (90+4')
Mari (61')
Miranchuk (43'), Sanabria (66')
Singo (19'), Adopo (36')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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