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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Atalanta logo

Torino
1 - 2
Atalanta

Sanabria (75')
Rodriguez (31')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zappacosta (34'), Zapata (88')
Luis Palomino (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Torino and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 0-1 Torino
Saturday, April 22 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Roma
Monday, April 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 0-1 Atalanta BC

This season, Torino have won only five of their 15 games at home, scoring a mere 12 goals in the process. As Atalanta are apparently clicking into gear at just the right time, they can complete the double over their hosts and pile pressure on teams just above them in the Serie A standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Torino had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawAtalanta BC
32.29% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 27.53% (0.0039999999999978 0) 40.18% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.69% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)56.9% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.18% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)77.81% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.37% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)32.63% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.82% (-0.055 -0.05)69.17% (0.050000000000011 0.05)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)27.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.71% (0.012 0.01)63.29% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Torino 32.29%
    Atalanta BC 40.17%
    Draw 27.52%
TorinoDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 7.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 32.29%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.05% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 11.6% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.44% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.17%

How you voted: Torino vs Atalanta

Torino
Draw
Atalanta BC
Torino
19.8%
Draw
14.3%
Atalanta BC
65.9%
91
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 4
Atalanta
3-1
Torino
Koopmeiners (45+4' pen., 47', 84' pen.)
Vlasic (77')
Aina (19')
Apr 27, 2022 7.15pm
gameweek 20
Atalanta
4-4
Torino
Muriel (18' pen., 84' pen.), De Roon (23'), Pasalic (78')
Freuler (35'), Pasalic (69')
Sanabria (4'), Lukic (36' pen., 63'), Freuler (67' og.)
Lukic (52'), Zima (83')
Aug 21, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 1
Torino
1-2
Atalanta
Belotti (79')
Rincon (52'), Bremer (72')
Muriel (6'), Piccoli (90+3')
Demiral (23'), Musso (81')
Feb 6, 2021 2pm
gameweek 21
Atalanta
3-3
Torino
Ilicic (14'), Sirigu (19' og.), Muriel (21')
Luis Palomino (41'), Pasalic (86'), Toloi (87')
Belotti (42'), Bremer (45+1'), Bonazzoli (84')
Zaza (24'), N'Koulou (27')
Sep 26, 2020 2pm
gameweek 2
Torino
2-4
Atalanta
Belotti (11', 43')
Zaza (39')
Papu (13'), Muriel (21'), Hateboer (42'), De Roon (54')
Caldara (30'), Freuler (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan33218472324071
2Napoli33218452252771
3Atalanta BCAtalanta33197766303664
4Bologna331612552371560
5Juventus331514449311859
6Lazio33178855431259
7Roma33169848321657
8Fiorentina33168951331856
9AC Milan331491051381351
10Torino331013103837143
11Udinese33117153648-1240
12Como33109144348-539
13Genoa33912122940-1139
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3395193060-3032
15Parma33613143851-1331
16CagliariCagliari3379173349-1630
17Lecce3368192355-3226
18VeneziaVenezia33413162746-1925
19Empoli33413162652-2625
20Monza3329222557-3215


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