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Serie A
Torino logo
Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Atalanta logo

Torino
1 - 2
Atalanta

Sanabria (75')
Rodriguez (31')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zappacosta (34'), Zapata (88')
Luis Palomino (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Torino and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torino

All competitions
Last Game: Lazio 0-1 Torino
Saturday, April 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Roma
Monday, April 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 0-1 Atalanta BC

 This season, Torino have won only five of their 15 games at home, scoring a mere 12 goals in the process. As Atalanta are apparently clicking into gear at just the right time, they can complete the double over their hosts and pile pressure on teams just above them in the Serie A standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Torino had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawAtalanta BC
32.29% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 27.53% (0.0039999999999978 0) 40.18% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.69% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)56.9% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.18% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)77.81% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.37% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)32.63% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.82% (-0.055 -0.05)69.17% (0.050000000000011 0.05)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)27.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.71% (0.012 0.01)63.29% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Torino 32.29%
    Atalanta BC 40.17%
    Draw 27.52%
TorinoDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 7.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 32.29%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.05% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 11.6% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.44% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.17%

How you voted: Torino vs Atalanta

Torino
19.8%
Draw
14.3%
Atalanta BC
65.9%
91
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 4
Atalanta
3-1
Torino
Koopmeiners (45+4' pen., 47', 84' pen.)
Vlasic (77')
Aina (19')
Apr 27, 2022 7.15pm
gameweek 20
Atalanta
4-4
Torino
Muriel (18' pen., 84' pen.), De Roon (23'), Pasalic (78')
Freuler (35'), Pasalic (69')
Sanabria (4'), Lukic (36' pen., 63'), Freuler (67' og.)
Lukic (52'), Zima (83')
Aug 21, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 1
Torino
1-2
Atalanta
Belotti (79')
Rincon (52'), Bremer (72')
Muriel (6'), Piccoli (90+3')
Demiral (23'), Musso (81')
Feb 6, 2021 2pm
gameweek 21
Atalanta
3-3
Torino
Ilicic (14'), Sirigu (19' og.), Muriel (21')
Luis Palomino (41'), Pasalic (86'), Toloi (87')
Belotti (42'), Bremer (45+1'), Bonazzoli (84')
Zaza (24'), N'Koulou (27')
Sep 26, 2020 2pm
gameweek 2
Torino
2-4
Atalanta
Belotti (11', 43')
Zaza (39')
Papu (13'), Muriel (21'), Hateboer (42'), De Roon (54')
Caldara (30'), Freuler (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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