Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Torino |
31.29% ( -0.01) | 28.02% ( 0.67) | 40.69% ( -0.66) |
Both teams to score 46.96% ( -1.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.07% ( -2.45) | 58.93% ( 2.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.58% ( -1.94) | 79.42% ( 1.94) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.59% ( -1.29) | 34.41% ( 1.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.88% ( -1.4) | 71.12% ( 1.4) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.59% ( -1.52) | 28.41% ( 1.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.84% ( -1.96) | 64.16% ( 1.96) |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.26% Total : 31.28% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.87) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.29) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.61) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.72% Total : 40.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |