Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
