Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juve Stabia win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Livorno had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juve Stabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Livorno win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.