Coverage of the Serie B clash between Lecce and SPAL.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Pordenone
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Lecce | 38 | 28 | 71 |
| 2 | Cremonese | 38 | 18 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 38 | 22 | 67 |
Last Game: Benevento 1-2 SPAL
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Como | 38 | -5 | 47 |
| 15 | SPAL | 38 | -8 | 42 |
| 16 | Cosenza Calcio | 38 | -23 | 35 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 64.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 13.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | SPAL |
| 64.82% | 21.22% | 13.96% |
| Both teams to score 45.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.71% | 50.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.76% | 72.23% |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.21% | 14.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.94% | 43.05% |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.82% | 47.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.38% | 82.62% |
| Score Analysis |
Lecce 64.81%
SPAL 13.96%
Draw 21.21%
| Lecce | Draw | SPAL |
| 1-0 @ 13.33% 2-0 @ 12.74% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 6.1% 4-0 @ 3.88% 4-1 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.29% 5-0 @ 1.48% 5-1 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.17% Total : 64.81% | 1-1 @ 10.01% 0-0 @ 6.98% 2-2 @ 3.6% Other @ 0.63% Total : 21.21% | 0-1 @ 5.24% 1-2 @ 3.76% 0-2 @ 1.97% 1-3 @ 0.94% 2-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.14% Total : 13.96% |
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2021 7.30pm
SPAL
1-3
Lecce
Gargiulo (23'), Espeto (51', 77')
Gargiulo (15'), Di Mariano (68'), Rodriguez (87')
Gargiulo (15'), Di Mariano (68'), Rodriguez (87')
Feb 15, 2020 2pm
