Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Reggina win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.