Serie B | Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
SPAL2 - 3Modena
Moncini (58', 90+7')
Meccariello (9'), Celia (37'), Dickmann (39'), Dalle Mura (62'), Valzania (81')
Meccariello (9'), Celia (37'), Dickmann (39'), Dalle Mura (62'), Valzania (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
La Mantia (45+1' og.), Falcinelli (72'), Marsura (90+6' pen.)
Tremolada (37'), Cittadini (66'), Falcinelli (87'), Marsura (90+6')
Tremolada (37'), Cittadini (66'), Falcinelli (87'), Marsura (90+6')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Modena.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Modena had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | Modena |
47.31% ( -0.55) | 25.15% ( 0.19) | 27.54% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 53.55% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
