Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ternana and Bari.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Genoa 1-0 Ternana
Sunday, March 12 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Sunday, March 12 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 0-0 Frosinone
Saturday, March 11 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Saturday, March 11 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
45
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ternana | Draw | Bari |
31.11% ( -0.02) | 28.33% ( 0.13) | 40.56% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.02% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.93% ( -0.45) | 60.07% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.71% ( -0.34) | 80.29% ( 0.35) |
| Ternana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.85% ( -0.26) | 35.15% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.1% ( -0.27) | 71.9% ( 0.27) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( -0.28) | 29.03% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.06% ( -0.35) | 64.94% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
Ternana 31.11%
Bari 40.55%
Draw 28.32%
| Ternana | Draw | Bari |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.12% Total : 31.11% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 40.55% |
