Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.

Result
NS Mura	Draw	Celje
36.33% ( 0.92)	24.57% ( -0.03)	39.11% ( -0.88)

Both teams to score 59.28% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.33% (

0.26)

43.68% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.94% (

0.25)

66.07% (

-0.25)

NS Mura Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.28% (

0.62)

23.72% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.15% (

0.89)

57.86% (

-0.88)

Celje Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.72% (

-0.32)

22.28% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.26% (

-0.48)

55.74% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

NS Mura 36.33%

Celje 39.11%

Draw 24.56%

NS Mura	Draw	Celje
2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.09% Total : 36.33%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.56%	1-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.4% Total : 39.11%