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[monks data]
Stockport County
FA Cup | First Round Replays
Nov 17, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Edgeley Park
Bolton logo

Stockport
5 - 3
Bolton

Madden (24' pen.), Quigley (45', 95'), Palmer (85'), Crankshaw (119')
Madden (33'), Crankshaw (120+1')
FT
(aet)
Kachunga (2'), Palmer (6' og.), Bakayoko (28')
Sheehan (34'), Isgrove (81'), Kachunga (88'), Amaechi (102')

Preview: Stockport County vs. Bolton Wanderers - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's FA Cup clash between Stockport County and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

After a 2-2 draw at the Macron Stadium, Stockport County and Bolton Wanderers will square off at Edgeley Park on Wednesday in the replay of their FA Cup first-round clash.

The Lancashire sides, two divisions apart in the English pyramid, will battle for a spot in the second round, with an away tie against Rotherham United looming.


Match preview

Wigan Athletic's Ben Amos in action with Bolton Wanderers' Eoin Doyle on October 16, 2021© Reuters

After a concerning start to the National League season by their own expectations, Stockport County appointed Dave Challinor as their new boss, and they headed into his first game in charge - the trip to Bolton - full of optimism for the future.

The side heavily fancied to challenge at the top of the fifth tier took an away lead through Scott Quigley, but goals from Eoin Doyle and Elias Kachunga saw the Trotters go ahead.

Ben Whitfield levelled the game on the stroke of half time, and Hatters held on for a surprise draw, forcing Bolton to travel to Edgeley Park.

Challinor's first league game in charge, a home clash against Bromley on Saturday, did not go to plan in the same way, as they looked set to see out a 1-0 win thanks to a Quigley goal, only for the visitors to snatch a point and force a share of the spoils in 90th minute through a Liam Hogan own goal.

Before they focus on climbing the league, Stockport will now look to again surprise the League One outfit and go one better to reach the second round of the FA Cup with what would be an eye-catching win.

The visitors arrive on the back of a much-needed league win, having previously struggled for form.

Ian Evatt's men headed into the first-round clash with Stockport on the back of a five-game winless run in the league, seeing them drop away from the playoff places, and they rebounded from the disappointment of the draw with a victory on Friday.

They met Crewe Alexandra at the Macron Stadium, and second-half goals from Josh Sheehan and Amadou Bakayoko saw Evatt's side take all three points.

Having now regained confidence thanks to that win, the Trotters will look to avoid a cup upset on Wednesday and get over the line when they travel to the fifth-tier outfit.

Stockport County FA Cup form:
  • W
  • D

Stockport County form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D

Bolton Wanderers FA Cup form:
  • D

Bolton Wanderers form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W



Team News

Stockport attracted attention with the signing of Bolton captain Antoni Sarcevic in late October, and, after missing the trip to the Macron Stadium through injury, the midfielder will now be fit to feature against his former club in the replay.

He should line up alongside John Rooney and Ryan Croasdale in a midfield trio, as the Hatters look to avoid getting overrun.

Scott Quigley and Paddy Madden offer plenty of threat going forward, having hit three and four goals respectively so far this season, with the former scoring in the 2-2 draw.

Bolton deployed a full-strength starting XI for the home clash against Stockport, and Evatt will keep the same approach for the replay.

Experienced forward Eoin Doyle should continue to lead the line after finding the net in that game, although Amadou Bakayoko will also hope to feature after hitting the first goal in Friday's win over Crewe.

Meanwhile, winger Elias Kachunga also scored in the 2-2 draw and Oladapo Afolayan has made the other flank his own.

In the absence of Sarcevic, Kieran Lee will act as a key leader in the engine room, and he could form a midfield trio with Jordan Williams and Josh Sheehan.

Stockport County possible starting lineup:
Ross; Minihan, Hogan, Palmer; Crankshaw, Rooney, Sarcevic, Croasdale, Whitfield; Madden, Quigley

Bolton Wanderers possible starting lineup:
Dixon; Isgrove, Santos, Baptiste, John; Lee, Williams, Sheehan; Kachunga, Doyle, Afolayan


SM words green background

We say: Stockport County 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

Despite the difference in level, we certainly do not see this as a straightforward victory for the visitors.

Stockport will give everything to eke out a result on home turf, but we ultimately see them falling just short to the quality that Bolton possess.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%).


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Data Failed

How you voted: Stockport vs Bolton

Stockport County
21.2%
Draw
17.2%
Bolton Wanderers
61.6%
99
Collect / Create New Data
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Ian Evatt pictured in May 2018
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