Alanyaspor seem to find better gear on home soil under the new manager, and they have a dominant record in this fixture. However, Gaziantep have shown resilience in recent weeks, and they won on this ground last year which could fuel their belief.
Considering these factors, we believe that both teams have enough to cancel each other out, which is why we are predicting a stalemate.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 63.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 15.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alanyaspor would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.07) 
