Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 35

May 22, 2023 at 6pm UK

Stade Pierre Duboeuf

Trabzonspor
4 - 1
Karagumruk

Bartra (8'), Sen (20' og.), Trezeguet (35', 51')
Asan (87')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Diagne (14')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Trabzonspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Trabzonspor

All competitions

Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-1 Trabzonspor
Thursday, May 18 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions

Last Game: Karagumruk 2-3 Adana Demirspor
Wednesday, May 17 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Trabzonspor 2-3 Fatih Karagumruk

Trabzonspor are faltering with nothing left to play for and have lost the majority of their games under new boss Nenad Bjelica. Pirlo's Karagumruk side are a joy to watch in attack but are liable to conceding goals, so a high-scoring encounter is a real possibility. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 63.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 16.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.

Result
Trabzonspor	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
63.05% ( -0.09)	20.29% ( 0.08)	16.66% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.36% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.9% (

-0.35)

41.1% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.5% (

-0.36)

63.5% (

0.36)

Trabzonspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.57% (

-0.13)

12.43% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.65% (

-0.28)

38.35% (

0.28)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.08% (

-0.2)

37.92% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.31% (

-0.2)

74.68% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Trabzonspor 63.04%

Fatih Karagumruk 16.66%

Draw 20.29%

Trabzonspor	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
2-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 7.12% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.56% Total : 63.04%	1-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.29%	1-2 @ 4.62% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 16.66%