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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 34
May 17, 2023 at 6pm UK
Vefa Stadı

Karagumruk
2 - 3
Adana Demirspor

Ozbir (44' og.), Diagne (80')
Shukurov (21'), Baniya (34'), Dresevic (65'), Ozdoyev (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ndiaye (51'), Onyekuru (76'), Dresevic (84' og.)
Inler (1'), Sari (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Adana Demirspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Karagumruk 0-1 Antalyaspor
Saturday, April 29 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 4-2 Alanyaspor
Saturday, May 6 at 7pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 1-3 Adana Demirspor

Having netted 15 goals across their previous four matches, Adana Demirspor look set to maintain their winning run with a high-scoring victory over Faith Karagumruk, whose season will continue to peter out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Adana Demirspor would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawAdana Demirspor
43.37% (-0.173 -0.17) 22.86% (0.145 0.15) 33.77% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 65.08% (-0.52800000000001 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.12% (-0.696 -0.7)35.87% (0.703 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.04% (-0.77 -0.77)57.96% (0.777 0.78)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (-0.342 -0.34)17.1% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.7% (-0.614 -0.61)47.3% (0.621 0.62)
Adana Demirspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.5% (-0.307 -0.31)21.49% (0.314 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46% (-0.476 -0.48)54.54% (0.483 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 43.37%
    Adana Demirspor 33.77%
    Draw 22.86%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawAdana Demirspor
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.49% (0.151 0.15)
2-0 @ 5.73% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.99% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-3 @ 0.9% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 43.37%
1-1 @ 9.98% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 6.77% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.128 0.13)
3-3 @ 2.04% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.65% (0.144 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.47% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 33.77%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Adana Demirspor

Fatih Karagumruk
32.0%
Draw
24.0%
Adana Demirspor
44.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 25, 2022 10.30am
gameweek 15
Adana Demirspor
2-1
Karagumruk
Akbaba (11', 43')
Borini (19')
Colley (37')
Jan 22, 2022 1pm
gameweek 23
Adana Demirspor
5-0
Karagumruk
Assombalonga (35', 67'), Akgun (58', 90'), Balotelli (83')
Akaydin (32')

Durmaz (35'), Borini (63'), Balkovec (65'), Biglia (79')
Karamoh (31')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
gameweek 4
Karagumruk
4-0
Adana Demirspor
Pesic (14', 21'), Bertolacci (58'), Karamoh (79')

Inler (74'), Svensson (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray16142047192844
2Fenerbahce16113240152536
3Samsunspor1693429171230
4Goztepe SKGoztepe SK1684431211028
5EyupsporEyupspor177642518727
6BesiktasBesiktas167542518726
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul156452521422
8GaziantepGaziantep166372224-221
9AntalyasporAntalyaspor166372028-821
10KonyasporKonyaspor165561823-520
11Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor166281625-920
12TrabzonsporTrabzonspor164752422219
13KasimpasaKasimpasa154742021-119
14SivassporSivasspor175482027-719
15AlanyasporAlanyaspor164661619-318
16KayserisporKayserispor163671632-1615
17Bodrumspor1642101222-1014
18Hatayspor151681324-119
19Adana Demirspor1512121235-232


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