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Swansea logo
Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 30, 2020 at 8pm UK
Liberty Stadium
Reading logo

Swansea
0 - 0
Reading


Bennett (45+1')
FT

Preview: Swansea City vs. Reading - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

A clash between two promotion-chasing teams rounds off the Championship schedule for 2020 as Swansea City host Reading on Wednesday night.

The Swans are currently in second place in the table, three points ahead of the Royals in sixth.


Match preview

Andre Ayew celebrates scoring for Swansea City against Queens Park Rangers on December 26, 2020© Reuters

It is the first time that Swansea are in the top two since the beginning of November, and comes as a result of their 2-0 win at Queens Park Rangers on Boxing Day.

Top scorer Andre Ayew gave them the lead just before half time at the Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium before Jamal Lowe grabbed his fourth goal in as many games after the break.

The Swans have now kept a clean sheet in five of their last six matches, with the only exception being their surprise 2-0 defeat to Derby County.

No team in the Championship have conceded fewer goals at home than Steve Cooper's men, who have only lost once at the Liberty Stadium this season – in mid-October to Huddersfield Town.

But despite their league position, Swansea are yet to put together more than two wins in a row in the league this season, last doing so in August 2019. That will be the aim as they host the Royals.

Alfa Semedo celebrates scoring for Reading against Luton Town on December 26, 2020© Reuters

Reading themselves have not achieved consecutive victories since they opened the campaign with seven wins from their first eight games that propelled them to the Championship summit.

As that statistic suggests, they have struggled for consistency since then, but have remained in the promotion picture and were 2-1 winners over Luton Town on Boxing Day.

Tom McIntyre and Alfa Semedo both scored their first goals for the club in the victory as the Royals moved back into the top six following back-to-back defeats to Norwich City and Brentford.

Only three clubs have scored more Championship goals this season than Veljko Paunovic's team and only Norwich have more wins, but they have also conceded the joint-highest number in the top half.

The Berkshire outfit have won just one of their last six away matches and have never taken three points from the Liberty Stadium since it opened in 2005. In fact, Reading have not beaten Swansea in any of their last 13 attempts since a 4-0 victory in September 2008.

Swansea City Championship form: WDWLWW

Reading Championship form: WLWLLW


Team News

Swansea boss Steve Cooper on February 1, 2020© Reuters

Steve Cooper has named the same starting lineup for the last two games, and having won both, may be tempted to keep his side unchanged once again.

If he does decide to switch things up, Kyle Naughton and Korey Smith would seem the most likely plays to slot into the defence and midfield respectively.

Liam Cullen, who was absent for the trip to QPR as he was showing coronavirus symptoms, has now returned a positive test so will miss Wednesday's game.

Michael Olise should come back into Reading's starting XI after being rested against Luton due to a tight hamstring.

John Swift made his return following over three months on the sidelines when he appeared as a substitute on Boxing Day, but he may be used off the bench again as Veljko Paunovic seeks to ease him back into first team football.

The Royals have a hefty injury list that includes captain Liam Moore, but the only player in contention to make a return in South Wales is top scorer Lucas Joao, whom Paunovic has said is in the "final stages" of his recovery.

Swansea City possible starting lineup:
Woodman; Cabango, Bennett, Guehi; Roberts, Fulton, Grimes, Bidwell; Dhanda; Ayew, Lowe

Reading possible starting lineup:
Rafael; Esteves, Holmes, Morrison, McIntyre; Laurent, Rinomhota; Olise, Semedo, Ejaria; Baldock


SM words green background

We say: Swansea City 2-0 Reading

Swansea are really starting to click into gear and should be favourites to claim all three points in this game. Reading have struggled against the teams around them recently, and their depleted squad is unlikely to have enough quality to get anything at the Liberty Stadium.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Swansea vs Reading

Swansea City
81.6%
Draw
11.7%
Reading
6.8%
103
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Reading manager Veljko Paunovic pictured in October 2020
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1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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