Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lugano in this match.