Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thun win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Thun win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Thun would win this match.