MX23RW : Monday, March 10 19:37:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Luzern
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 23
Feb 9, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Sportplatz Chruzmatt
Winterthur

Luzern
3 - 2
Winterthur

Villiger (42', 80'), Spadanuda (89' pen.)
Lofgren (14')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pierre Louis Gomis (33'), Buess (75')
Schneider (61'), Ulrich (65'), Buess (87'), Kapino (88')
Schattin (38')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Luzern and FC Winterthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Basel 2-1 Luzern
Thursday, February 6 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Winterthur 0-2 FC Zurich
Thursday, February 6 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 15.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.

Result
LuzernDrawFC Winterthur
65.24% (-0.137 -0.14) 19.72% (0.061 0.06) 15.03% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 52.48% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.29% (-0.126 -0.13)41.7% (0.125 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.89% (-0.127 -0.13)64.1% (0.127 0.13)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.99% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)12% (0.074 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.55% (-0.16 -0.16)37.44% (0.16 0.16)
FC Winterthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.63% (0.024000000000001 0.02)40.36% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.01% (0.021000000000001 0.02)76.98% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Luzern 65.23%
    FC Winterthur 15.03%
    Draw 19.72%
LuzernDrawFC Winterthur
2-0 @ 10.88%
1-0 @ 10.26% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 7.7% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.98% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.08% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.7% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 65.23%
1-1 @ 9.32% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.84% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.72%
0-1 @ 4.39% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.23% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.99% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.28% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 15.03%

Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 18
Winterthur
3-4
Luzern
Baroan (26'), Di Giusto (34'), Burkart (41')
Baroan (72'), Baroan (75'), Kapino (90'), Durrer (90')
Klidje (3'), Rrudhani (28'), Ottiger (90+2'), Grbic (90+3')
Spadanuda (1'), Knezevic (48'), Rrudhani (90+5')
Aug 24, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 5
Luzern
3-0
Winterthur
Villiger (3', 51'), Karweina (77')
Beloko (89')

Lekaj (33'), Schneider (41'), Diaby (68'), Fofana (80'), Krasniqi (90+6'), Chiappetta (90+6')
Feb 11, 2024 1.15pm
Gameweek 23
Winterthur
2-1
Luzern
Ltaief (64'), Schattin (83')
Diaby (9'), Schattin (51')
Grbic (25' pen.)
Ottiger (50')
Ottiger (82')
Nov 25, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 15
Luzern
3-1
Winterthur
Chader (6'), Simani (85'), Abubakar (90')
Frydek Jr (13'), Ulrich (87'), Haas (90+6')
Schattin (66')
Arnold (74'), Stillhart (76'), Schneider (90+5'), Ramizi (90+6')
Jul 22, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Winterthur
0-0
Luzern
Sidler (23'), Ballet (25'), Diaby (44')
Beloko (4'), Okou (17'), Dorn (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Servette2713954536948
2Basel27137756292746
3Luzern2712874741644
4LuganoLugano2712694339442
5Young Boys2711794234840
6St GallenSt Gallen2710984238439
7FC Zurich27116103637-139
8Lausanne SportLausanne27107104337637
9Sion2796123743-633
10Yverdon Sport2777132744-1728
11Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper27511112738-1126
12FC WinterthurWinterthur2755172756-2920


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!