Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.