Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Vilafranquense had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Vilafranquense win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Vilafranquense
50.42% ( -0.09)	23.77% ( 0.01)	25.8% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 56.56% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.16% (

-0.01)

44.84% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.8% (

-0.01)

67.19% (

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.15% (

-0.04)

17.84% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.4% (

-0.07)

48.6% (

0.06)

Vilafranquense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.84% (

0.06)

31.16% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.5% (

0.07)

67.49% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Boavista 50.42%

Vilafranquense 25.8%

Draw 23.77%

Boavista	Draw	Vilafranquense
2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 3.64% Total : 50.42%	1-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.77%	1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 25.8%