Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Moreirense |
38.67% ( 0.32) | 26.7% ( 0.15) | 34.63% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 51.76% ( -0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.75% ( -0.65) | 53.25% ( 0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.19% ( -0.56) | 74.8% ( 0.56) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.15% ( -0.12) | 26.85% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.85% ( -0.16) | 62.15% ( 0.16) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.75% ( -0.61) | 29.25% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.79% ( -0.76) | 65.2% ( 0.76) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.67% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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