Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Sep 9, 2023 at 6pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense2 - 3Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chaves 1-2 Moreirense
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, September 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Moreirense 1-1 Braga
Braga are likely to suffer without their two key attacking outlets in Horta and Ruiz and may struggle against a Moreirense side who have not given up many goals so far this season. The hosts still have a full complement of players and will fancy their chances of getting a result against a notably weakened Braga side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Braga |
21.76% ( -0.25) | 23.46% ( -0.35) | 54.78% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 52.86% ( 0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
