Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Boavista |
42.94% ( 0.08) | 25.3% ( 0.01) | 31.76% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 55.54% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.98% ( -0.07) | 48.02% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.81% ( -0.06) | 70.19% ( 0.07) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.69% ( 0.01) | 22.31% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.23% ( 0.01) | 55.77% ( -0.01) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.49% ( -0.09) | 28.51% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.71% ( -0.12) | 64.29% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 42.94% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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