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Under-20s World Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jun 4, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades

South Korea U20s
1 - 0
Nigeria U20s

Seok-Hyun (95')
Lee (70'), Lee (106'), Lee (108')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Abdullahi (106')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Under-20 World Cup clash between South Korea Under-20s and Nigeria Under-20s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ecuador U20s 2-3 South Korea U20s
Thursday, June 1 at 10pm in Under-20 World Cup
Last Game: Argentina U20s 0-2 Nigeria U20s
Wednesday, May 31 at 10pm in Under-20 World Cup

We said: South Korea Under-20s 0-1 Nigeria Under-20s

Having displayed exemplary defensive nous to send Argentina packing, Nigeria can replicate such feats against a South Korea side working with a day's less rest, and the Tigers of Asia could fall victim to the unforgiving tournament schedule here. Kim's team have often found the back of the net at will during the current World Cup, but we expect the Red Devils to run out of steam against the Flying Eagles, who can soar into the semi-finals for the first time in 18 years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea Under-20s win with a probability of 60.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Nigeria Under-20s had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Nigeria Under-20s win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Korea Under-20s in this match.

Result
South Korea Under-20sDrawNigeria Under-20s
60.31% (0.149 0.15) 22.62% (0.156 0.16) 17.06% (-0.307 -0.31)
Both teams to score 47.72% (-1.062 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.6% (-1.109 -1.11)50.39% (1.106 1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.66% (-0.99 -0.99)72.33% (0.989 0.99)
South Korea Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.69% (-0.33199999999999 -0.33)16.3% (0.332 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.12% (-0.605 -0.61)45.88% (0.603 0.6)
Nigeria Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.01% (-1.037 -1.04)42.98% (1.036 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.72% (-0.889 -0.89)79.28% (0.88600000000001 0.89)
Score Analysis
    South Korea Under-20s 60.3%
    Nigeria Under-20s 17.06%
    Draw 22.62%
South Korea Under-20sDrawNigeria Under-20s
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.42 0.42)
2-0 @ 11.52% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.97% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-0 @ 3.16%
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.117 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.067 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 60.3%
1-1 @ 10.73% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.01% (0.307 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 22.62%
0-1 @ 5.92% (0.097 0.1)
1-2 @ 4.53% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.5% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 17.06%

How you voted: South Korea U20s vs Nigeria U20s

South Korea Under-20s
Nigeria Under-20s
South Korea Under-20s
46.2%
Nigeria Under-20s
53.8%
26
rhs 2.0
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