Spain U21s

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Croatia U21s

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia Under-21s win with a probability of 52.38%. A win for Spain Under-21s had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.45%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Spain Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Spain Under-21s would win this match.