Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.