Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 16

Mar 5, 2023 at 12pm UK

Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist

Metalist Kharkiv
0 - 7
Shakhtar

FT(HT: 0-4)

Zubkov (5', 41'), Mykhaylichenko (13'), Traore (38'), Kurilo (56' og.), Petryak (58'), Rakitskiy (66')
Traore (14')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Metalist Kharkiv and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metalist Kharkiv

All competitions

Last Game: Oleksandriya 3-3 Metalist Kharkiv
Monday, February 27 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

Ukrainian Premier League

Last Game: Minai 1-4 Shakhtar
Tuesday, February 28 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 14.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 2-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Metalist Kharkiv	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
14.57% ( 0.07)	19.02% ( 0.03)	66.4% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 53.77% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.56% (

0.04)

39.43% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.22% (

0.04)

61.77% (

-0.04)

Metalist Kharkiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.44% (

0.12)

39.56% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.75% (

0.11)

76.25% (

-0.11)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.97% (

-0.01)

11.03% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.65% (

-0.03)

35.35% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Metalist Kharkiv 14.57%

Shakhtar Donetsk 66.4%

Draw 19.02%

Metalist Kharkiv	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 14.57%	1-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.02%	0-2 @ 10.6% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 7.23% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.29% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.85% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 4.2% Total : 66.4%