Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Donbass Arena
Shakhtar2 - 1Rennes
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shakhtar 3-2 Vorskla
Wednesday, November 23 at 2pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Wednesday, November 23 at 2pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Toulouse 3-1 Rennes
Sunday, February 12 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, February 12 at 12pm in Ligue 1
We said: Shakhtar Donetsk 0-2 Rennes
Losing their talisman as well as playing their home matches in another country suggests that Shakhtar may find this assignment much tougher than they would have done in previous years. Rennes are hopelessly out of form but do have plenty of players on the pitch who can make the difference and should have more than Shakhtar on the night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 2-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Rennes |
20.42% ( 0.03) | 21.71% ( -0.01) | 57.87% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.65% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
