Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 68.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Shakhtar Donetsk in this match.