Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
May 26, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Defensor3 - 1Cerro Largo
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Cerro Largo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensor 0-2 Penarol
Saturday, May 18 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, May 18 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Wanderers 1-0 Cerro Largo
Sunday, May 19 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, May 19 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
14
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 44.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 27.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Cerro Largo |
44.6% ( -0.61) | 28.25% ( 0.37) | 27.14% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 44.34% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
