Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4

Jul 9, 2022 at 2pm UK

Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel

Maldonado
1 - 2
Wanderers

Borges (56')
Ferreira (24'), Varela (30')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mendez (90', 90+8')
Fracchia (8'), Lacerda (21'), Estol (52'), Aguirre (69'), Hernandez (82'), Mendez (90+6')
Mendez (90+9'), Izquierdo (90+9')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Montevideo Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Deportivo Maldonado	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
31.66% ( 0.11)	29.02% ( 0.72)	39.32% ( -0.84)

Both teams to score 44.3% (

-1.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.72% (

-2.44)

62.28% (

2.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.06% (

-1.82)

81.94% (

1.83)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.07% (

-1.22)

35.93% (

1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.29% (

-1.27)

72.71% (

1.28)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.15% (

-1.7)

30.85% (

1.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.87% (

-2.04)

67.13% (

2.05)

Score Analysis

Deportivo Maldonado 31.65%

Montevideo Wanderers 39.31%

Draw 29.02%

Deportivo Maldonado	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.99% Total : 31.65%	1-1 @ 13.34% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.97) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.29) Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.02%	0-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 3% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.31%