Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 53.37%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 21.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a La Luz win it was 1-0 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
La Luz	Draw	Defensor Sporting
21.48% ( 0.45)	25.14% ( 0.22)	53.37% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 47.47% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.54% (

-0.36)

54.46% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.17% (

-0.3)

75.83% (

0.29)

La Luz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.64% (

0.27)

40.36% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.02% (

0.24)

76.98% (

-0.25)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.6% (

-0.42)

20.4% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.17% (

-0.66)

52.83% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

La Luz 21.48%

Defensor Sporting 53.36%

Draw 25.14%

La Luz	Draw	Defensor Sporting
1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.29% Total : 21.48%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.4% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 5.51% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 5% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 53.36%