Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Mar 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
River Plate3 - 1Maldonado
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Deportivo Maldonado.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 0-4 Penarol
Wednesday, March 8 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, March 8 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Penarol 2-1 Maldonado
Sunday, March 5 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, March 5 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
Result | ||
River Plate | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
42.29% ( 0.86) | 27.6% ( -0.36) | 30.11% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 47.7% ( 0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.23% ( 1.12) | 57.77% ( -1.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.49% ( 0.87) | 78.51% ( -0.88) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.01% ( 0.99) | 26.98% ( -1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.67% ( 1.29) | 62.33% ( -1.29) |
Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.33% ( 0.21) | 34.66% ( -0.22) |