Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
May 9, 2023 at 12am UK
Parque Osvaldo Roberto
Racing0 - 2Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Racing de Montevideo and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Plaza Colonia
Wednesday, May 3 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Wednesday, May 3 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Defensa 4-1 Penarol
Friday, May 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, May 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Penarol |
26.77% ( -0.89) | 26.51% ( -0.1) | 46.71% ( 0.99) |
| Both teams to score 48.86% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
